Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 59.5% vs Stamkos 50.9% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 54.5%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 51.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 52.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Giroux
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Giroux
Stamkos
Last 7: Giroux 3-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Giroux
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (821)
49.3% (789)
+8.4%
Power Play
65.5% (235)
56.9% (181)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (160)
54.1% (98)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Giroux is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Giroux shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Giroux
Stamkos
Home
62.5% (675)
52.0% (512)
Away
57.5% (541)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Giroux
Stamkos
P1
60.6%
42.1%
P2
59.8%
56.4%
P3
60.9%
53.7%
OT
47.4%
62.5%
Final 5 min
64.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
60.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 17:28 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 13:13 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 01:34 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |