Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Stamkos 54.6% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 63.5%
Defensive zone
Giroux 68.1%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 57.8%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Giroux
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Giroux
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Giroux
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
56.1% (342)
+4.2%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
53.3% (92)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
62.5% (8)
+2.9%
On power play, Giroux has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Giroux is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Giroux shoots right. Stamkos is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Giroux
Stamkos
Home
65.9% (337)
53.4% (208)
Away
59.1% (318)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Giroux
Stamkos
P1
62.1%
55.6%
P2
64.5%
52.8%
P3
60.9%
59.1%
OT
70.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
60.3%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 18:55 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |