Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 62.0%
Defensive zone
Giroux 94.3%
Neutral zone
Giroux 84.6%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Giroux
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Giroux
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
49.3% (670)
+10.3%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
53.7% (121)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
33.3% (3)
+28.1%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Giroux is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Giroux shoots right. Stamkos is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Giroux
Stamkos
Home
65.7% (461)
54.0% (400)
Away
57.7% (515)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Giroux
Stamkos
P1
60.7%
48.6%
P2
63.7%
54.5%
P3
60.2%
45.4%
OT
46.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
63.5%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2025 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |