Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs Stamkos 55.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 59.4%
Defensive zone
Giroux 70.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 55.2%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Giroux
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Giroux
Stamkos
Last 6: Giroux 3-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Giroux
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
0
Giroux
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (661)
55.9% (499)
-0.4%
Power Play
65.5% (194)
56.3% (126)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (297)
58.3% (12)
+0.3%
On power play, Giroux has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Giroux is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Giroux shoots right. Stamkos is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Giroux
Stamkos
Home
59.0% (576)
55.3% (349)
Away
56.9% (576)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Giroux
Stamkos
P1
57.0%
57.0%
P2
58.1%
59.2%
P3
58.9%
51.5%
OT
52.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
61.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | OT | 03:18 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |