Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.7% vs Stamkos 53.4% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 72.6%
Defensive zone
Giroux 92.2%
Neutral zone
Giroux 81.9%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Giroux
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Giroux
Stamkos
Last 6: Giroux 5-1 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
1
Giroux
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (750)
55.3% (628)
+4.4%
Power Play
62.6% (190)
55.1% (216)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (281)
40.2% (87)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Giroux is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Giroux shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Giroux
Stamkos
Home
59.5% (580)
55.5% (499)
Away
57.3% (641)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Giroux
Stamkos
P1
56.6%
50.7%
P2
58.0%
53.8%
P3
60.8%
55.9%
OT
50.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
64.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 12:17 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 17:39 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |