Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +28.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perfetti 47.7% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-28.5%)
Offensive zone
Perfetti 54.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 74.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Perfetti
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perfetti
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
30.0% (10)
56.1% (690)
-26.1%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
64.6% (96)
-64.6%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +64.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Perfetti is 28.6% vs left-shot opponents (7).
Perfetti shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Perfetti
O'Reilly
Home
16.7% (6)
58.3% (408)
Away
40.0% (5)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Perfetti
O'Reilly
P1
16.7%
57.7%
P2
25.0%
54.8%
P3
100.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
33.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perfetti
38.0%▲
34.6%
27.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%