Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perfetti 49.5% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-11.0%)
Offensive zone
Perfetti 51.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 71.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 60.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Perfetti
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perfetti
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (7)
55.4% (826)
-12.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
57.9% (221)
-7.9%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Perfetti is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (7).
Perfetti shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Perfetti
O'Reilly
Home
66.7% (6)
55.8% (579)
Away
0.0% (3)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Perfetti
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
57.7%
P2
40.0%
54.8%
P3
50.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
33.3%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perfetti
38.0%▲
34.6%
44.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%