Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perfetti 43.8% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-16.3%)
Offensive zone
Perfetti 56.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 69.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 54.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Perfetti
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perfetti
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
32.9% (79)
55.0% (1,084)
-22.1%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
56.8% (303)
-2.3%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Perfetti is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (65).
Perfetti shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Perfetti
O'Reilly
Home
36.5% (63)
54.8% (759)
Away
39.5% (38)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Perfetti
O'Reilly
P1
38.5%
55.3%
P2
37.0%
51.9%
P3
37.9%
54.2%
Final 5 min
42.3%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perfetti
38.0%▲
34.6%
37.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%