Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.9% vs Evans 49.8% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Sillinger leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Sillinger 64.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 82.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 66.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Sillinger
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Sillinger
Evans
Last 10: Sillinger 6-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
4
1
Sillinger
Evans
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Sillinger
Evans
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Sillinger
Evans
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (694)
51.3% (739)
-4.6%
Power Play
53.8% (52)
53.3% (15)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
30.3% (33)
43.0% (172)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Sillinger is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (297).
Sillinger shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Evans
Home
47.9% (374)
52.1% (503)
Away
45.2% (405)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Sillinger
Evans
P1
48.5%
50.5%
P2
47.8%
47.7%
P3
42.8%
51.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:19 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:02 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:36 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:44 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 01:12 | Defensive | Jake Evans |