Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sillinger wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Evans 51.7% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 72.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.2%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 52.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Sillinger
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Sillinger
Evans
Last 8: Sillinger 4-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
1
Sillinger
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
3
Sillinger
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
54.5% (483)
-9.9%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
58.3% (12)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
43.9% (155)
-25.7%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Sillinger is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Sillinger shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Evans
Home
45.5% (365)
49.4% (336)
Away
42.9% (331)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Sillinger
Evans
P1
42.5%
55.8%
P2
43.9%
51.7%
P3
46.3%
48.2%
Final 5 min
45.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 12:25 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:22 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:04 | Offensive | Jake Evans |