Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.8% vs Evans 52.2% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Sillinger leads 21-18 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Sillinger 60.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 87.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 64.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Sillinger
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
18
(39 meetings)
21
18
Sillinger
Evans
Last 10: Sillinger 3-7 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
12
3
Sillinger
Evans
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
10
Sillinger
Evans
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Sillinger
Evans
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (2,801)
53.8% (3,695)
-7.7%
Power Play
50.0% (180)
60.0% (70)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (225)
47.1% (1,222)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Sillinger is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,109).
Sillinger shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Evans
Home
46.5% (1,620)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
44.8% (1,586)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Sillinger
Evans
P1
45.6%
54.0%
P2
45.5%
50.9%
P3
45.8%
52.0%
OT
47.8%
46.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
45.6%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:08 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 14:25 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:07 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:02 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 07:48 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 12:25 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |