Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.6% vs Evans 52.0% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Sillinger leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Sillinger 65.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 84.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 59.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Sillinger
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Sillinger
Evans
Last 10: Sillinger 4-6 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
5
1
Sillinger
Evans
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
5
Sillinger
Evans
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Sillinger
Evans
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (834)
54.4% (807)
-7.0%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
55.0% (20)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
46.1% (310)
-9.7%
On power play, Evans has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Sillinger is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Sillinger shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Evans
Home
45.9% (488)
53.7% (581)
Away
46.7% (484)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Sillinger
Evans
P1
45.0%
54.6%
P2
44.5%
50.0%
P3
49.5%
52.3%
OT
45.5%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.3%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 14:25 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:07 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:02 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 07:48 | Neutral | Jake Evans |