Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.7% vs Evans 52.6% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 70.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 76.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.3%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Sillinger
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Sillinger
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Sillinger
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (535)
54.4% (824)
-7.9%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
66.7% (9)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
48.1% (289)
-4.6%
On power play, Evans has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Sillinger is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Sillinger shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Evans
Home
48.7% (339)
55.1% (541)
Away
43.4% (311)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Sillinger
Evans
P1
46.3%
51.8%
P2
47.9%
53.3%
P3
44.0%
53.8%
OT
50.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
49.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.2%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:08 | Neutral | Jake Evans |