Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.9% vs Frost 48.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 59.2%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 60.2%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 61.8%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Sillinger
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Sillinger
Frost
Last 8: Sillinger 3-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Sillinger
Frost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
3
Sillinger
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (694)
47.4% (426)
-0.7%
Power Play
53.8% (52)
63.9% (36)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
30.3% (33)
20.0% (5)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Sillinger has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Sillinger is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Sillinger shoots left. Frost is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Frost
Home
47.9% (374)
51.1% (221)
Away
45.2% (405)
45.9% (246)
By Period
Sillinger
Frost
P1
48.5%
47.5%
P2
47.8%
52.3%
P3
42.8%
44.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.5%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 08:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |