Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings). Sillinger wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.8% vs Frost 50.3% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 20-13 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Sillinger 70.7%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 79.6%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 70.9%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Sillinger
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
20
(33 meetings)
13
20
Sillinger
Frost
Last 10: Sillinger 3-7 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
12
Sillinger
Frost
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
7
1
Sillinger
Frost
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
4
7
Sillinger
Frost
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (2,801)
49.4% (3,598)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.0% (180)
55.5% (625)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (225)
52.8% (36)
-15.9%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Sillinger is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,097).
Sillinger shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Frost
Home
46.5% (1,620)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
44.8% (1,586)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Sillinger
Frost
P1
45.6%
50.8%
P2
45.5%
51.1%
P3
45.8%
48.5%
OT
47.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
45.6%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 15:49 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:19 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |