Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.6% vs Frost 49.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 51.7%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 71.9%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 62.8%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Sillinger
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Sillinger
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Sillinger
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Sillinger
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (834)
48.6% (704)
-1.2%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
55.7% (115)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
25.0% (4)
+11.4%
On power play, Frost has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Sillinger is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Sillinger shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Frost
Home
45.9% (488)
49.9% (399)
Away
46.7% (484)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Sillinger
Frost
P1
45.0%
51.2%
P2
44.5%
53.9%
P3
49.5%
42.7%
OT
45.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.3%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:19 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 01:58 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:48 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |