Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.7% vs Frost 51.1% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 60.7%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 83.7%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 64.7%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Sillinger
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Sillinger
Frost
Last 10: Sillinger 3-7 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
7
Sillinger
Frost
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
4
1
Sillinger
Frost
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
4
3
Sillinger
Frost
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (535)
50.3% (825)
-3.8%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
54.9% (204)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
50.0% (4)
-6.5%
On power play, Frost has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Sillinger is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Sillinger shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Frost
Home
48.7% (339)
50.7% (489)
Away
43.4% (311)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Sillinger
Frost
P1
46.3%
53.6%
P2
47.9%
47.8%
P3
44.0%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.2%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 15:49 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |