Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Frost 46.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 50.3%
Defensive zone
Frost 52.4%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 50.2%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Sillinger
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Sillinger
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sillinger
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
45.6% (833)
-1.0%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
46.0% (100)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
55.6% (18)
-37.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +37.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Sillinger is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Sillinger shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Frost
Home
45.5% (365)
47.0% (440)
Away
42.9% (331)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Sillinger
Frost
P1
42.5%
42.5%
P2
43.9%
47.9%
P3
46.3%
46.6%
Final 5 min
45.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |