Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.9% vs Paul 50.4% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 74.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 63.6%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 54.1%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Sillinger
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Sillinger
Paul
Last 9: Sillinger 4-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
1
Sillinger
Paul
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Sillinger
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Sillinger
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (694)
53.0% (644)
-6.3%
Power Play
53.8% (52)
37.5% (24)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
30.3% (33)
42.9% (177)
-12.6%
On power play, Sillinger has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Sillinger is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Sillinger shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Paul
Home
47.9% (374)
52.5% (516)
Away
45.2% (405)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Sillinger
Paul
P1
48.5%
47.6%
P2
47.8%
48.4%
P3
42.8%
54.5%
Final 5 min
51.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 14:55 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 15:20 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 05:34 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 14:19 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Nick Paul |