Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Sillinger wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.8% vs Paul 52.2% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 21-12 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Sillinger 75.6%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 85.2%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 73.9%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Sillinger
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
21
(33 meetings)
12
21
Sillinger
Paul
Last 10: Sillinger 4-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
5
7
Sillinger
Paul
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
5
7
Sillinger
Paul
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
7
Sillinger
Paul
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (2,801)
52.5% (3,796)
-6.4%
Power Play
50.0% (180)
56.5% (480)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (225)
46.7% (574)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Sillinger is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,097).
Sillinger shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Paul
Home
46.5% (1,620)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
44.8% (1,586)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Sillinger
Paul
P1
45.6%
53.9%
P2
45.5%
51.0%
P3
45.8%
52.0%
OT
47.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
45.6%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 01:14 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:53 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:34 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |