Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.7% vs Paul 50.0% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 52.3%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 50.5%
Neutral zone
Paul 51.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Sillinger
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Sillinger
Paul
Last 8: Sillinger 4-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Sillinger
Paul
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
4
1
Sillinger
Paul
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (535)
48.8% (666)
-2.3%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
53.8% (65)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
60.0% (55)
-16.5%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Sillinger is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Sillinger shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Paul
Home
48.7% (339)
49.7% (348)
Away
43.4% (311)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Sillinger
Paul
P1
46.3%
51.0%
P2
47.9%
47.4%
P3
44.0%
51.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.2%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 01:14 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |