Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sillinger wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Paul 53.4% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 56.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 67.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.1%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Sillinger
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Sillinger
Paul
Last 6: Sillinger 3-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
3
1
Sillinger
Paul
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Sillinger
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Sillinger
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
53.8% (753)
-9.2%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
58.9% (90)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
47.4% (78)
-29.2%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Sillinger is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Sillinger shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Paul
Home
45.5% (365)
54.2% (450)
Away
42.9% (331)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Sillinger
Paul
P1
42.5%
58.2%
P2
43.9%
50.6%
P3
46.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
45.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:34 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:04 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:23 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |