Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.6% vs Paul 53.9% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Sillinger 83.8%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 78.8%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 78.8%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Sillinger
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Sillinger
Paul
Last 10: Sillinger 1-9 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Sillinger
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Sillinger
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
4
Sillinger
Paul
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (834)
53.1% (710)
-5.7%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
57.3% (199)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
58.0% (69)
-21.6%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Sillinger is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Sillinger shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Paul
Home
45.9% (488)
56.0% (466)
Away
46.7% (484)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Sillinger
Paul
P1
45.0%
57.2%
P2
44.5%
54.9%
P3
49.5%
51.5%
OT
45.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:53 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |