Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 49.4% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 71.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 74.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 78.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (127)
56.6% (1,064)
-7.0%
Power Play
76.9% (13)
60.4% (260)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
54.0% (261)
-19.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Blackwell is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (128).
Blackwell shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Home
53.9% (76)
54.9% (801)
Away
45.2% (93)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Blackwell
O'Reilly
P1
43.4%
58.0%
P2
50.0%
56.7%
P3
53.8%
55.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
49.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |