Colin Blackwell vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Blackwell wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 47.7% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Blackwell 60.6%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 77.1%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 73.0%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Last 10: Blackwell 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
8
Blackwell
O'Reilly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
3
2
Blackwell
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blackwell
2
0
Blackwell
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (698)
56.2% (15,260)
-7.1%
Power Play
63.2% (38)
58.8% (3,445)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (260)
51.4% (2,811)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Blackwell is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Blackwell shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Home
45.8% (480)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
49.0% (516)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Blackwell
O'Reilly
P1
47.1%
55.6%
P2
47.7%
57.0%
P3
47.6%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
52.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 11:17 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:56 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |