Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 50.0% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-5.8%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 56.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 64.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 55.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Blackwell
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (30)
56.1% (690)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
45.9% (109)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Blackwell is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Blackwell shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Home
57.9% (19)
58.3% (408)
Away
41.2% (17)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Blackwell
O'Reilly
P1
45.5%
57.7%
P2
57.1%
54.8%
P3
45.5%
55.2%
Final 5 min
62.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%