Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 48.2% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 83.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 66.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 72.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (52)
55.0% (1,084)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
40.3% (149)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Blackwell is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (65).
Blackwell shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Blackwell
O'Reilly
Home
41.9% (31)
54.8% (759)
Away
48.7% (39)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Blackwell
O'Reilly
P1
47.1%
55.3%
P2
50.0%
51.9%
P3
41.4%
54.2%
Final 5 min
57.1%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
45.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |