Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 49.4% vs Hertl 52.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Blackwell 55.2%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 58.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.4%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Blackwell
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Blackwell
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Blackwell
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (127)
51.6% (1,084)
-2.0%
Power Play
76.9% (13)
61.0% (246)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
44.1% (136)
-9.6%
On power play, Blackwell has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Blackwell is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (128).
Blackwell shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Hertl
Home
53.9% (76)
55.2% (696)
Away
45.2% (93)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Blackwell
Hertl
P1
43.4%
55.4%
P2
50.0%
54.8%
P3
53.8%
48.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
49.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 03:54 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |