Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 50.0% vs Hertl 54.5% (-4.8%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 75.4%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 56.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 56.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Blackwell
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (30)
54.1% (1,117)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
34.4% (32)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Blackwell is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Blackwell shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Hertl
Home
57.9% (19)
54.3% (709)
Away
41.2% (17)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Blackwell
Hertl
P1
45.5%
51.6%
P2
57.1%
53.6%
P3
45.5%
58.6%
Final 5 min
62.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%