Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 38.7% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 47.5% vs Larkin 55.0% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 53.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 53.8%
Neutral zone
Brown 55.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Brown
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Brown
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Brown
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (24)
55.9% (943)
-22.6%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
57.4% (244)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
46.2% (106)
+0.0%
On even strength, Larkin has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Brown is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (31).
Brown shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Brown
Larkin
Home
37.5% (8)
56.0% (654)
Away
42.4% (33)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Brown
Larkin
P1
26.7%
54.4%
P2
46.7%
55.9%
P3
54.5%
55.2%
Final 5 min
37.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
41.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |