Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 32.4% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 45.8% vs Larkin 54.2% (-18.1%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 53.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 70.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 56.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Brown
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
35.7% (28)
52.6% (1,117)
-16.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
60.7% (305)
-60.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
55.9% (177)
-15.9%
On power play, Larkin has a +60.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Brown is 32.4% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Brown shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Brown
Larkin
Home
47.8% (23)
54.7% (783)
Away
23.8% (21)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Brown
Larkin
P1
36.8%
55.9%
P2
46.7%
56.1%
P3
20.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
33.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
36.4%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%