Connor Brown vs Dylan Larkin

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +27.6% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Brown 45.8% vs Larkin 52.4% (-27.6%)
Offensive zone Larkin 51.1%
Defensive zone Larkin 73.0%
Neutral zone Larkin 54.9%
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Brown Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Brown
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
28.6% (14)
51.7% (878)
-23.1%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
58.5% (246)
-58.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
48.2% (166)
-14.9%
On power play, Larkin has a +58.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Brown is 18.8% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Brown shoots right. Larkin is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Brown
Larkin
Home
16.7% (6)
52.4% (647)
Away
28.6% (14)
52.7% (643)
By Period
Brown
Larkin
P1
20.0%
52.2%
P2
25.0%
53.1%
P3
33.3%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
0.0%
55.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
26.0%
34.0%
25.0%
Larkin
54.0%
49.5%
52.6%