Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 48.1% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-10.2%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 54.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 51.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Dewar
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (114)
56.6% (1,064)
-11.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
60.4% (260)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
54.0% (261)
-1.1%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dewar is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Dewar shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Dewar
O'Reilly
Home
45.3% (64)
54.9% (801)
Away
47.8% (69)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Dewar
O'Reilly
P1
33.3%
58.0%
P2
44.2%
56.7%
P3
64.1%
55.4%
Final 5 min
58.1%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%