Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 46.0% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-13.0%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 82.3%
Defensive zone
Dewar 75.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 54.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Dewar
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (92)
56.2% (983)
-16.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.5% (254)
+44.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (31)
52.0% (102)
-3.6%
On power play, Dewar has a +44.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dewar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Dewar shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Dewar
O'Reilly
Home
41.0% (78)
56.2% (697)
Away
45.7% (46)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Dewar
O'Reilly
P1
38.9%
54.5%
P2
53.3%
55.5%
P3
34.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
42.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
42.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%