Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.7% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-11.8%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 69.2%
Defensive zone
Dewar 69.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Dewar
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (28)
55.4% (826)
-1.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
57.9% (221)
+42.1%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
50.4% (129)
-19.6%
On power play, Dewar has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dewar is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Dewar shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Dewar
O'Reilly
Home
42.1% (19)
55.8% (579)
Away
44.4% (36)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Dewar
O'Reilly
P1
52.6%
57.7%
P2
31.8%
54.8%
P3
53.8%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
43.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%