Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.1% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 54.2%
Defensive zone
Dewar 60.1%
Neutral zone
Dewar 60.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Dewar
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dewar
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Dewar
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (443)
56.1% (690)
-10.7%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
64.6% (96)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
45.9% (109)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dewar is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Dewar shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Dewar
O'Reilly
Home
43.3% (238)
58.3% (408)
Away
44.9% (265)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Dewar
O'Reilly
P1
41.7%
57.7%
P2
46.1%
54.8%
P3
44.4%
55.2%
Final 5 min
44.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |