Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Lorentz 48.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 53.0%
Defensive zone
Dewar 73.0%
Neutral zone
Dewar 60.6%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Dewar
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dewar
Lorentz
Last 6: Dewar 2-4 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
2
Dewar
Lorentz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Lorentz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Lorentz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,008)
48.9% (1,118)
-3.5%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
50.0% (26)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (194)
41.9% (86)
-0.1%
On power play, Dewar has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Dewar is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Dewar shoots left. Lorentz is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Dewar
Lorentz
Home
43.4% (588)
50.8% (606)
Away
46.8% (637)
46.2% (624)
By Period
Dewar
Lorentz
P1
43.9%
53.0%
P2
47.1%
46.8%
P3
44.3%
46.1%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:09 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 02:20 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |