Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.5% vs Lorentz 49.4% (-2.1%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 69.0%
Defensive zone
Dewar 65.8%
Neutral zone
Dewar 57.8%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Dewar
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (331)
48.9% (135)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Dewar is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Dewar shoots left. Lorentz is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Dewar
Lorentz
Home
43.9% (189)
50.7% (75)
Away
49.3% (221)
46.9% (64)
By Period
Dewar
Lorentz
P1
50.4%
60.0%
P2
50.0%
46.3%
P3
40.8%
44.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.9%