Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 46.0% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+6.3%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 65.5%
Defensive zone
Dewar 62.6%
Neutral zone
Dewar 54.5%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Dewar
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (92)
30.8% (26)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (31)
57.1% (7)
-8.7%
On even strength, Dewar has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Dewar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Dewar shoots left. Lorentz is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Dewar
Lorentz
Home
41.0% (78)
35.0% (20)
Away
45.7% (46)
38.5% (13)
By Period
Dewar
Lorentz
P1
38.9%
38.5%
P2
53.3%
37.5%
P3
34.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
42.7%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.4%