Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.7% vs Lorentz 50.0% (-6.4%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 52.8%
Defensive zone
Dewar 62.6%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 58.1%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Dewar
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (28)
52.2% (67)
+1.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
42.9% (21)
-12.1%
On power play, Dewar has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Dewar is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Dewar shoots left. Lorentz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
Dewar
Lorentz
Home
42.1% (19)
55.4% (65)
Away
44.4% (36)
36.0% (25)
By Period
Dewar
Lorentz
P1
52.6%
59.3%
P2
31.8%
47.1%
P3
53.8%
44.8%
Final 5 min
43.8%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
43.6%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%