Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 48.1% vs Lorentz 47.6% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 67.7%
Defensive zone
Dewar 64.3%
Neutral zone
Dewar 60.0%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Dewar
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (114)
46.5% (101)
-0.9%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
37.5% (8)
+15.4%
On power play, Dewar has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Dewar is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Dewar shoots left. Lorentz is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Dewar
Lorentz
Home
45.3% (64)
49.1% (53)
Away
47.8% (69)
42.4% (59)
By Period
Dewar
Lorentz
P1
33.3%
48.6%
P2
44.2%
36.7%
P3
64.1%
57.7%
Final 5 min
58.1%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.5%