Who wins more faceoffs, Aleksander Barkov or Connor McDavid?

Aleksander Barkov leads the head-to-head 11-2 across 13 faceoffs.

What is Aleksander Barkov's faceoff record against Connor McDavid?

Aleksander Barkov is 11-2 against Connor McDavid in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 4-0, Defensive 1-1, Neutral 6-1.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Aleksander Barkov or Connor McDavid?

Aleksander Barkov is the predicted winner with a 84.0% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Aleksander Barkov vs Connor McDavid

Aleksander BarkovL vs Connor McDavidL

2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Aleksander Barkov holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Barkov wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Barkov 53.5% vs McDavid 47.0% (+7.1%)

H2H factor Barkov leads 11-2 in 13 meetings

Offensive zone Barkov 72.2%

Defensive zone Barkov 88.0%

Neutral zone Barkov 89.6%

Result Aleksander Barkov favored at 84.0%

84.0%

16.0%

Barkov McDavid

Head-to-Head Record

11 - 2 (13 meetings)

Barkov McDavid

Last 10: Barkov 9-1 McDavid

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Barkov

Barkov McDavid

4 total

Defensive Zone

Even

Barkov McDavid

2 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Barkov

Barkov McDavid

7 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Barkov

McDavid

Edge

Even Strength

54.5% (1,377)

46.9% (862)

+7.6%

Power Play

54.7% (340)

42.1% (38)

+12.6%

Penalty Kill

47.3% (222)

44.4% (18)

+2.9%

On power play, Barkov has a +12.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

McDavid shoots left. Barkov is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,222).

Barkov shoots left. McDavid is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (588).

Home / Away

Barkov

McDavid

Home

54.5% (948)

47.9% (478)

Away

52.9% (991)

45.2% (440)

By Period

Barkov

McDavid

55.2%

45.9%

54.2%

47.7%

52.3%

46.6%

43.8%

33.3%

Final 5 min

55.2%

47.2%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Barkov

44.0%▼

47.5%

53.7%

McDavid

50.0%▬

50.0%

46.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Jan 10, 2019	2	06:45	Neutral	Connor McDavid
Jan 10, 2019	2	00:00	Neutral	Aleksander Barkov
Jan 10, 2019	1	09:06	Neutral	Aleksander Barkov
Jan 10, 2019	1	00:08	Offensive	Aleksander Barkov
Jan 10, 2019	1	00:00	Neutral	Aleksander Barkov
Nov 8, 2018	2	08:12	Neutral	Aleksander Barkov
Nov 8, 2018	2	03:18	Offensive	Aleksander Barkov
Nov 8, 2018	2	00:00	Neutral	Aleksander Barkov
Nov 8, 2018	1	09:02	Offensive	Aleksander Barkov
Nov 8, 2018	1	06:28	Defensive	Aleksander Barkov
Nov 8, 2018	1	04:00	Offensive	Aleksander Barkov
Nov 8, 2018	1	00:18	Defensive	Connor McDavid
Nov 8, 2018	1	00:00	Neutral	Aleksander Barkov

Barkov's Profile | McDavid's Profile