Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Copp wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.1% vs McDavid 49.6% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 59.4%
Defensive zone
Copp 51.2%
Neutral zone
Copp 57.6%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Copp
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Copp
McDavid
Last 10: Copp 5-5 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
2
Copp
McDavid
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Copp
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
4
2
Copp
McDavid
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (152)
49.1% (621)
+0.2%
Power Play
64.9% (57)
78.6% (14)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
0.0% (3)
+47.8%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Copp is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Copp shoots left. McDavid is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Copp
McDavid
Home
53.5% (114)
56.1% (330)
Away
52.5% (118)
42.5% (308)
By Period
Copp
McDavid
P1
53.2%
49.2%
P2
52.5%
47.4%
P3
54.3%
53.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
58.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 07:17 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 11:40 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 03:10 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 11:53 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |