Auston Matthews vs Connor McDavid
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Matthews wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs McDavid 42.2% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 89.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 89.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 89.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 89.4%
89.4%
10.6%
Matthews
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Matthews
McDavid
Last 10: Matthews 7-3 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Matthews
McDavid
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
McDavid
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
1
Matthews
McDavid
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (613)
41.4% (855)
+13.1%
Power Play
52.9% (68)
47.8% (23)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
35.5% (31)
+35.9%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +35.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Matthews is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Matthews shoots left. McDavid is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Matthews
McDavid
Home
59.8% (351)
42.8% (451)
Away
49.0% (337)
40.0% (458)
By Period
Matthews
McDavid
P1
58.0%
38.0%
P2
49.6%
44.9%
P3
55.4%
41.7%
OT
83.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
54.5%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2017 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 3 | 03:25 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 2 | 17:32 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 2 | 17:20 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 2 | 07:50 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 1 | 06:58 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |