Auston Matthews vs Connor McDavid
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 51.7% vs McDavid 49.6% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 20-13 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 68.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 74.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 74.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Matthews
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
13
(33 meetings)
20
13
Matthews
McDavid
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
6
7
Matthews
McDavid
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
1
Matthews
McDavid
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
9
5
Matthews
McDavid
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (795)
49.1% (621)
+3.1%
Power Play
52.5% (40)
78.6% (14)
-26.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (32)
0.0% (3)
+43.8%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Matthews is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Matthews shoots left. McDavid is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Matthews
McDavid
Home
53.5% (454)
56.1% (330)
Away
50.1% (413)
42.5% (308)
By Period
Matthews
McDavid
P1
54.8%
49.2%
P2
52.2%
47.4%
P3
48.1%
53.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
51.9%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 16:45 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 05:23 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 13:03 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 13:08 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |