Connor McDavid vs Dylan Larkin

2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Connor McDavid holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McDavid 53.4% vs Larkin 52.1% (+1.4%)
H2H factor McDavid leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone McDavid 54.7%
Defensive zone McDavid 57.1%
Neutral zone McDavid 53.3%
Result Connor McDavid favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
McDavid Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 4 (11 meetings)
7
4
McDavid Larkin
Last 10: McDavid 7-3 Larkin

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid Larkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
1
McDavid Larkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
3
McDavid Larkin
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McDavid
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
51.8% (903)
+2.5%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
56.0% (225)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
47.4% (76)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +14.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Larkin shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
McDavid
Larkin
Home
53.6% (507)
55.6% (662)
Away
53.8% (539)
48.3% (542)
By Period
McDavid
Larkin
P1
52.6%
49.9%
P2
54.1%
52.7%
P3
54.9%
53.0%
OT
44.4%
68.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%
50.0%
53.7%
Larkin
54.0%
49.5%
52.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 15, 2022 3 15:22 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Mar 15, 2022 3 13:45 Defensive Connor McDavid
Mar 15, 2022 3 08:04 Defensive Connor McDavid
Mar 15, 2022 2 03:37 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 9, 2021 3 01:58 Offensive Connor McDavid
Nov 9, 2021 3 00:05 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Nov 9, 2021 3 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Nov 9, 2021 1 18:14 Defensive Connor McDavid
Nov 9, 2021 1 06:14 Offensive Connor McDavid
Nov 9, 2021 1 02:35 Neutral Connor McDavid
Nov 9, 2021 1 00:00 Neutral Dylan Larkin