Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Eichel 48.9% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 55.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 68.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 57.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
McDavid
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McDavid
Eichel
Last 5: McDavid 3-2 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
2
McDavid
Eichel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Eichel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Eichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
46.4% (317)
+7.9%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
59.6% (57)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
60.0% (5)
-26.7%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
McDavid shoots left. Eichel is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
McDavid
Eichel
Home
53.6% (507)
46.2% (169)
Away
53.8% (539)
50.5% (210)
By Period
McDavid
Eichel
P1
52.6%
39.8%
P2
54.1%
49.6%
P3
54.9%
56.2%
OT
44.4%
28.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |