Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Eichel 45.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 53-44 in 97 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 57.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 56.9%
Neutral zone
McDavid 56.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
McDavid
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
53
-
44
(97 meetings)
53
44
McDavid
Eichel
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
19
12
McDavid
Eichel
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
12
9
McDavid
Eichel
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
22
23
McDavid
Eichel
45 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
44.7% (8,462)
+3.0%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
52.8% (925)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
38.3% (540)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,105).
McDavid shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Home / Away
McDavid
Eichel
Home
49.3% (4,570)
45.7% (4,899)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
44.5% (5,028)
By Period
McDavid
Eichel
P1
46.5%
45.4%
P2
48.7%
45.8%
P3
48.3%
44.2%
OT
40.9%
44.2%
Final 5 min
50.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 12:24 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |