Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Eichel 45.9% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 58.2%
Defensive zone
Eichel 50.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 54.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
McDavid
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
McDavid
Eichel
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
4
McDavid
Eichel
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
0
McDavid
Eichel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
4
6
McDavid
Eichel
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
45.9% (1,044)
+1.8%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
55.9% (59)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
39.7% (151)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. McDavid is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (282).
McDavid shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Home / Away
McDavid
Eichel
Home
47.3% (387)
46.5% (606)
Away
48.1% (389)
44.8% (648)
By Period
McDavid
Eichel
P1
47.6%
47.2%
P2
50.0%
46.9%
P3
45.0%
42.7%
Final 5 min
46.8%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 12:24 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |