Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). McDavid wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Eichel 45.8% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 81.9%
Defensive zone
McDavid 87.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 75.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
McDavid
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
McDavid
Eichel
Last 10: McDavid 7-3 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
2
McDavid
Eichel
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
0
McDavid
Eichel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Eichel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
45.5% (708)
+6.0%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
51.9% (54)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
29.0% (31)
+22.2%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. McDavid is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (357).
McDavid shoots left. Eichel is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Home / Away
McDavid
Eichel
Home
50.7% (513)
46.1% (388)
Away
53.2% (498)
44.4% (405)
By Period
McDavid
Eichel
P1
52.3%
46.8%
P2
51.6%
43.4%
P3
51.7%
45.4%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 14:05 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 16:53 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |